The Houston Astros (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Astros are 68-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 70-58 ATS.

Astros vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 5-11, 5.26 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 12-5, 3.11 ERA

Astros vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+42.90 Units / 195% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+20.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 60% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+24.10 Units / 121% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+20.65 Units / 51% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+15.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 109 games (+18.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 68 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.35 Units / 71% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 119 games (+21.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+13.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 113 games (+11.45 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 63-63 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.71% ROI).

• 68-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.24% ROI
• 50-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.55 Units / -21.46% ROI
• 73-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.75 Units / 12.7% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 70-58 against the Run Line (+21.3 Units / 14.21% ROI).

• 74-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.38% ROI
• 69-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.8 Units / 12.08% ROI
• 48-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.15 Units / -20.06% ROI

Orioles vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Arrighetti has a strikeout rate of 52% (14 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has struck out 50% (23/46) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (33 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .409 — second Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.076 (187 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .758 — first Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (301/459) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (452/695) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (469/695) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 69% of the time (137/197) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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