The Houston Astros (-175) visit Clover Park to take on the New York Mets (+145) on Saturday, March 23, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Port St. Lucie, FL.
This season, the Astros are 9-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 10-9 ATS.
Astros vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Corey Julks has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.85 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Astros are 9-9 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -3.49% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -6.86% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -4.42% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mets are 10-9 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / 2.75% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -6.4% ROI
- 3-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -59.54% ROI
- 14-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 50.33% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (119/459) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 20% (38/194) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters swung at 37% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (447/1,199) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier elevated 50% of his pitches (687/1,374) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (17/48) versus Jose Quintana on low breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH against his fastballs since the 2022 season (389 balls in play) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 90.6
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% (55/174) against Jose Quintana against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.2 MPH on inside pitches since the 2022 season (205 balls in play) — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.7