The Houston Astros (+100) visit Clover Park to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Port St. Lucie, FL.
This season, the Astros are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 8-6 ATS.
Astros vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 52.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cesar Salazar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 96% ROI)
- Cesar Salazar has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 away games (+3.40 Units / 170% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Astros are 7-6 against the Run Line (+0.77 Units / 4.79% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 3.26% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -13.87% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.47 Units / 3.4% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mets are 8-6 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 12.95% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.26 Units / -6.65% ROI
- 1-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.11 Units / -72.33% ROI
- 11-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 63.71% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (119/459) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Hitters swung at 37% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (447/1,199) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 20% (38/194) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier elevated 51% of his pitches (353/699) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino had an ERA of 8.14 (48.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.42 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .341 (73-for-214) against Luis Severino on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.
Luis Severino allowed a slugging percentage of .450 (103 Total Bases / 229 ABs) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .310 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit .333 (61-for-183) against Luis Severino in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.