The Houston Astros (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-155) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Astros are 41-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 39-41 ATS.

Astros vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Shawn Dubin 1-1, 5.73 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 5-2, 3.28 ERA

Astros vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+25.20 Units / 315% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+15.75 Units / 72% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+16.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.50 Units / 45% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 71 games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+10.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 39-43 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -3.34% ROI).

• 41-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -10.78% ROI
• 30-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.25 Units / -25.95% ROI
• 49-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +16 Units / 17.59% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 39-41 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -4.33% ROI).

• 40-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -1.93% ROI
• 41-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 2.82% ROI
• 35-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -11.01% ROI

Mets vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shawn Dubin has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (49/101) this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (20/34) against Shawn Dubin this season — tied for 8th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .299 (26-for-87) against Shawn Dubin this season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — fourth Percentile.

Shawn Dubin has a strike rate of just 61% (249/409) this season — tied for 10th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 64% — 11th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (44/264) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (18/130) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has walked 13 of 135 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (35/216) against Luis Severino on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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