The Houston Astros (-115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-105) on Saturday, June 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Astros are 40-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 39-40 ATS.

Astros vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 6-5, 3.70 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 2-4, 4.82 ERA

Astros vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+25.20 Units / 315% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+15.75 Units / 72% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 64 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.50 Units / 62% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 51% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+9.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 38-43 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -4.44% ROI).

• 40-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -11.75% ROI
• 29-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.25 Units / -27.45% ROI
• 49-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +17 Units / 18.9% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 39-40 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -3.41% ROI).

• 40-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.67% ROI
• 40-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.7% ROI
• 35-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -9.95% ROI

Mets vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (147/233) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

  
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