The Houston Astros (+120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Astros are 24-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 29-28 ATS.

Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 2-5, 7.00 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 3-2, 3.09 ERA

Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 29 games (+21.15 Units / 73% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 41 games (+20.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 38 games (+16.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+14.65 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+15.40 Units / 103% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Dominic Canzone has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+14.25 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-34 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -19.12% ROI).

• 24-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -23.07% ROI
• 21-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -22.44% ROI
• 32-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.85 Units / 14.22% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 29-28 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -3.54% ROI).

• 31-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.21% ROI
• 20-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.9 Units / -27.75% ROI
• 34-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.5 Units / 18.4% ROI

Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .500 (48 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 0 Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.111 (48 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .717 — second Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has a strike rate of just 60% (118/196) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .419 (18 GB hits out of 43 GBs) against Spencer Arrighetti this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .242 (385 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has struck out 31% (41/131) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 9 double plays in 36 opportunities (25%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 31% (53/169) against Logan Gilbert this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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