The Houston Astros (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Astros are 24-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 28-28 ATS.
Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 3-2, 3.63 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 4-5, 4.00 ERA
Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 28 games (+22.15 Units / 79% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 40 games (+19.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 37 games (+17.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+16.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+13.65 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+16.40 Units / 117% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+1.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+13.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-33 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -17.88% ROI).
- 24-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -22% ROI
- 21-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -21.02% ROI
- 31-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 12.84% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 28-28 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -4.94% ROI).
- 30-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.66% ROI
- 20-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.8 Units / -26.42% ROI
- 33-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 17.1% ROI
Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Justin Verlander (HOU) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .216 (19-for-88) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .346 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .295 (149 Total Bases / 505 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (20/90) against Justin Verlander this month (5 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (20/90) against Justin Verlander this month (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 18 of 592 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 25 of 1,012 batters (3%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 9 of 376 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 20.0 (20/1) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.5 — 98th Percentile.