The Houston Astros (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Astros are 24-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 27-28 ATS.

Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-5, 7.12 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 4-6, 3.29 ERA

Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 27 games (+23.15 Units / 86% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 39 games (+18.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+18.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+14.40 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+17.40 Units / 134% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+14.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+11.55 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.55 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-32 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -15.31% ROI).

• 24-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -21% ROI
• 21-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -19.68% ROI
• 30-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 11.44% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 27-28 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -7.28% ROI).

• 29-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -3.16% ROI
• 20-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.8 Units / -25.17% ROI
• 32-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 15.79% ROI

Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .469 (38-for-81) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .318 — 0 Percentile.

The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (95/155) against Hunter Brown on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .737 (246 Total Bases / 334 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .577 — first Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (93/285) against Luis Castillo this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Luis Castillo in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 38% (28 SO in 73 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 89th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (18 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 13th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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