The Houston Astros (-130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+110) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Astros are 24-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 26-28 ATS.

Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 3-2, 4.36 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 3-5, 3.53 ERA

Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 26 games (+24.15 Units / 93% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+17.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 35 games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+18.40 Units / 153% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+13.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 28% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+10.55 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-31 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -13.96% ROI).

• 24-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -19.66% ROI
• 21-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -18.15% ROI
• 29-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 9.95% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 26-28 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -8.8% ROI).

• 28-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.85% ROI
• 20-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -23.74% ROI
• 31-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 14.39% ROI

Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 87% (26/30) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (26/35) against Framber Valdez — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (751/1,216) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .192 (60-for-312) against Framber Valdez when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 96th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .169 (20-for-118) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 96th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .200 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 against Bryce Miller vs left-handed batters this season — 10th best among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP– 91st Percentile. Left handed batters hit .303 (70-for-231) against him last season — tied for sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– seventh Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed a BABIP of .148 vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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