The Houston Astros (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Astros are 52-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 44-56 ATS.

Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-4, 2.57 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 3-1, 2.48 ERA

Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 40 games (+20.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+16.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 52-46 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 6.04% ROI).

• 52-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -4.62% ROI
• 38-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -22.4% ROI
• 57-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.35 Units / 14.16% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 44-56 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -13.45% ROI).

• 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -5.15% ROI
• 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.95 Units / -19.3% ROI
• 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.9 Units / 10.86% ROI

Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .136 (19-for-140) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .214 (36-for-168) against Ronel Blanco in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 — 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has allowed a BABIP of .179 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (64-for-379) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (1,547/2,077) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 73% (457/629) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .241 (170 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 98th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 79% of the time (495/629) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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