The Houston Astros (-135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+110) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Astros vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 70-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 56-51 ATS.

Astros vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 74% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.60 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Owen Miller has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)

Guardians vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 107 games (+22.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 96 games (+20.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+11.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 93 games (+11.35 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 90 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 88 games (+10.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 88 games (+5.10 Units / 5% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 56-53 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 3.84% ROI).

• 70-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 3.77% ROI
• 39-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.2 Units / -27.02% ROI
• 66-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.9 Units / 18.92% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 56-51 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI).

• 55-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 4.34% ROI
• 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.76% ROI
• 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -7.73% ROI

Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 37% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (514/1,375) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (404/806) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (122/446) against Cristian Javier since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (26/96) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Triston McKenzie has a strike rate of 66% when ahead in the count (tied for ninth highest)– 86th Percentile and 67% when behind in the count this season (tied for eighth lowest among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (104/320) against Triston McKenzie this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .204 (88-for-431) against Triston McKenzie this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 90th Percentile.

77% of Triston McKenzie’s called strikeouts are low this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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