The Houston Astros (-160) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+135) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Astros vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 70-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 55-51 ATS.
Astros vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 59.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Guardians vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Guardians vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Guardians vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
Guardians vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -140 |
| Luis Garcia | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 56-52 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 4.67% ROI).
- 70-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 4.69% ROI
- 39-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.1 Units / -26.34% ROI
- 65-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.9 Units / 18.26% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 55-51 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -0.78% ROI).
- 54-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 3.28% ROI
- 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.17% ROI
- 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -8.67% ROI
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
50 of Luis Garcia’s 112 strikeouts (45%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .190 (84 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .210 (46-for-219) against Luis Garcia this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .208 (82-for-395) against Luis Garcia this season — tied for 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 85th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (75 SO in 246 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (32/272) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
11 of Cal Quantrill’s 36 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
25 of Cal Quantrill’s 79 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.