The Houston Astros (-200) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+165) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Astros vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 69-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 55-50 ATS.
Astros vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+10.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+9.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 105 games (+22.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 94 games (+20.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 91 games (+11.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 88 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 86 games (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+8.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 65 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 86 games (+5.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 55-52 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 3.91% ROI).
- 69-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 4.19% ROI
- 38-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.1 Units / -27.46% ROI
- 65-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.95 Units / 19.3% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 55-50 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI).
- 54-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 4.1% ROI
- 51-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.69% ROI
- 47-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -7.84% ROI
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (239/354) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (81/118) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (203/294) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (158/236) against Framber Valdez in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Gaddis: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game