The Houston Astros (-120) visit Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Jupiter, FL.

This season, the Astros are 9-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 1-0 ATS.

Astros vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 54.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Cesar Salazar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 96% ROI)
• Cesar Salazar has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 away games (+3.40 Units / 170% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 68% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
• Tommy Edman has hit the Stolen Bases Over in his last game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 66% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Astros are 9-9 against the Run Line (-0.78 Units / -3.49% ROI).

• 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.47 Units / -13.04% ROI
• 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -6.86% ROI
• 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -4.42% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 60.24% ROI).

• 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 120% ROI
• 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 98.04% ROI
• 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.18 Units / -100% ROI

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of just 21% (107/501) against J.P. France in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (26/207) against J.P. France on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

J.P. France had a strikeout rate of just 10% (12/120) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

J.P. France located 62% of his pitches away (365/593) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters swung at 44% of Zack Thompson’s pitches (510/1,168) in the 2023 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — fifth Percentile.

49% of Zack Thompson’s non-fastball strikeouts were located inside in the 2023 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

Zack Thompson allowed a BABIP of .341 in the 2023 season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — sixth Percentile.

Hitters swung at 42% of Zack Thompson’s breaking pitches (218/519) in the 2023 season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — ninth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
Read Full Article