The Houston Astros (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Astros are 43-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 38-47 ATS.

Astros vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 8-3, 2.50 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-8, 4.20 ERA

Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+15.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games (+12.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 42-43 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 43-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -9.64% ROI
• 32-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -23.99% ROI
• 50-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.9 Units / 15.82% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-47 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -15.81% ROI).

• 39-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -13.05% ROI
• 40-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -6.75% ROI
• 42-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -2.4% ROI

Blue Jays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .217 (30-for-138) against Ronel Blanco in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (45/109) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has allowed a BABIP of .184 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 21 of 136 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .689 (31 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .312 (43-for-138) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — fourth Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 49% of the time (438/888) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OBP of .362 (152 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — sixth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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