The Houston Astros (-145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+120) on Monday, July 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Astros are 42-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 38-45 ATS.

Astros vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 5-5, 4.43 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 0-2, 5.95 ERA

Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+15.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 52% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+9.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 40-43 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -2.29% ROI).

• 42-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -9.75% ROI
• 31-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.25 Units / -24.53% ROI
• 49-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.9 Units / 16.19% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-45 against the Run Line (-15.5 Units / -13.92% ROI).

• 38-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -13.31% ROI
• 39-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -6.86% ROI
• 41-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -2.46% ROI

Blue Jays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (133/694) against Hunter Brown since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (43/119) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 23 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (175/294) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to April 24th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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