Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22
Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22

The Houston Astros (-150) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+125) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Astros are 52-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 51-50 ATS.

Astros vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 4-7, 5.68 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Hogan Harris 1-3, 3.45 ERA

Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+26.40 Units / 264% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 41 games (+18.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+15.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+9.15 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games at home (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 52-47 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 4.28% ROI).

  • 52-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -5.34% ROI
  • 39-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.05 Units / -21.24% ROI
  • 57-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.3 Units / 13.07% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 51-50 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -6.06% ROI).

  • 39-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -7.36% ROI
  • 46-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -10.48% ROI
  • 52-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.54% ROI

Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +425 0.5 -550
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Lawrence Butler (OAK) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Miguel Andujar (OAK) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Lawrence Butler (OAK) 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Mauricio Dubon (HOU) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) 5.5 -150 5.5 +115
Hogan Harris (OAK) 3.5 +105 3.5 -140

The last hit on a Spencer Arrighetti breaking pitch was June 26th. Hitters are 0 for their last 28 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Spencer Arrighetti has walked 24 of 142 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .437 (142 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .321 — first Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .396 (144 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 0 Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hogan Harris has walked 9 of 37 batters (24%) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (195/882) against Hogan Harris since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Hogan Harris has walked 23 of 206 batters (11%) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

33% of Hogan Harris’ strikeouts are looking since last season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 92nd Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

  
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