The Houston Astros (-175) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+145) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Astros are 78-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 76-70 ATS.
Astros vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 3-6, 5.33 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 10-12, 3.54 ERA
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Justin Verlander has hit the Strikeouts Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 65% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tyler Anderson has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Angels Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 73-73 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 1.75% ROI).
- 78-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -5.62% ROI
- 60-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.4 Units / -18.44% ROI
- 82-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.5 Units / 9.56% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 76-70 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -7.1% ROI).
- 60-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 69-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -4.78% ROI
- 70-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -3.38% ROI
Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Justin Verlander (HOU) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .406 (26 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Justin Verlander this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (64/234) against Justin Verlander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .251 (804 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .235 (24-for-102) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .342 — 98th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (231/700) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 18% (28 SO in 151 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — eighth Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (60 Total Bases / 246 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — 95th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (612/2,036) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.