Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 13
Astros vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 13

The Houston Astros (-210) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+170) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Astros are 78-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 76-70 ATS.

Astros vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 8-9, 4.31 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Samuel Aldegheri 1-1, 2.46 ERA

Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+41.40 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 43 games (+14.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 17 games (+23.10 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+15.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Zach Neto has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 129 games (+16.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games (+15.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 47 games at home (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games at home (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 73-73 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 1.75% ROI).

  • 78-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -5.62% ROI
  • 60-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.4 Units / -18.44% ROI
  • 82-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.5 Units / 9.56% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 76-70 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -7.1% ROI).

  • 60-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -6.76% ROI
  • 69-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -4.78% ROI
  • 70-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -3.38% ROI

Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Zach Neto (LAA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Victor Caratini (HOU) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) 6.5 -135 6.5 +105
Samuel Aldegheri (LAA) 3.5 -105 3.5 -125

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his changeup for a strike just 47% (138/295) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

20 of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 31% (152/494) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.

68% of Yusei Kikuchi’s called strikeouts are low this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 93rd Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Samuel Aldegheri had a strike rate of just 58% (52/90) in his last start — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Samuel Aldegheri has walked 3 of 24 batters (12%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

Samuel Aldegheri has a strike rate of just 58% (52/90) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Samuel Aldegheri has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (12/24) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 10th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

  
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