Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: BetMGM's Predictions, Best Bets, Sleepers

Here are some predictions, best bets, and sleeper picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational

By BetMGM – Mar 1, 2023, 6:02pm

After most of the top players did not play in last week's Honda Classic, they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando.

It is a designated event, which means a star-studded field, including world No. 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. He has the best odds to win at +650.

With narrow fairways, thick rough, firm and fast greens, Bay Hill can be one of the hardest courses of the season if the wind picks up. As of Tuesday, it's expected to be a windy tournament, especially on Friday, with gusts expected over 30 miles per hour.'

This could lead to some high scores.'

With windy conditio ns over the weekend a year ago, Scottie Scheffler won the event at 5-under and only 10 players finished the tournament under par. Then in 2020, a year that also featured windy conditions, Tyrell Hatton won at 4-under.'

Because of this, it will be worth targeting the best ball strikers and the players who excel in the Bogey Avoidance metric. It's also worth noting the Bermuda greens, as some players putt better on them than others.

At 7,466 yards, it's a longer course by PGA Tour standards, but a variety of players have been able to win in the past. Tiger Woods, Bryson DeChambeau, and Rory McIlroy have won, but so have shorter hitters like Francesco Molinari and Matt Every.'

Another thing to keep in mind is the last six winners of the event all had at least one top-15 finish at a prior Arnold Palmer Invitational. This would su ggest course history is more important than most weeks.

Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week.
  
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