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The Army Black Knights will look to cover as double-digit favorites against the Temple Owls, and they'll rely heavily on the running game as usual.
Earlier this week, I offered some Army vs. Temple early picks for the Thursday night Week 5 matchup. The spread has barely moved since then, so my Army vs. Temple prediction remains the same.
Temple is going to struggle to stop the Black Knights from running the football, and the Owls could be hard-pressed to do enough offensively to cover a spread of nearly two touchdowns. However, they did just score 45 points last week.
This serves as the first game this week we're covering as part of our college football Week 5 predictions.
Best Army vs. Temple picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Army -13 (-112 via DraftKings) vs. Temple ????
- Player prop pick: Kanye Udoh Over 57.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)????
Army vs. Temple against the spread prediction: Week 5
Army vs. Temple opening odds:
- Army: -13.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
- Temple: +13.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
Earlier this week, FanDuel offered bettors a chance to get in on the Black Knights at -12.5. With 66% of wagers backing Army to cover, the spread has grown to 13.5 at all of our best sports betting sites except for DraftKings.
DraftKings is offering -13, and though the price is -112 rather than -110, the minor price difference is worth it for the chance to push.
The Black Knights are averaging an astounding 346.5 rushing yards per game. That's the most in college football, and they're one of only three teams to average more than 300 yards per game. One of those three teams, the Navy Midshipmen, played the Owls earlier this season and ran for 297 yards in a 38-11 win.
The Owls are allowing 221.3 rushing yards per game, ranked 112th in the nation. Though some could argue they have an advantage in this game because they already played Navy, they were so unsuccessful against the Midshipmen that it's hard to imagine they can make the changes to stop the Black Knights.
Army is going to use so much clock in this game, so it's fair to worry that it won't cover this large spread, especially on the road.
However, the Owls have scored 20 or fewer points in three of their four games. Meanwhile, the Black Knights may score on every possession in this game, and as long as they get to 28 – which they've done in two of their three games – they'll cover.
Best odds: -112 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 52.83%
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Army vs. Temple prop pick for Week 5
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It's no surprise that I think the best play of the game is taking one of the Black Knights' runners to hit their Over.
Bryson Daily leads the Black Knights with 58 carries and 340 rushing yards this season. He's cleared the 100-yard threshold in back-to-back games, but I don't love having to take him Over 100 in this game, just because the backfield is so talented.
Instead, I'm back Udoh. Between himself, Daily, and Noah Short, Udoh has been the least effective runner this season. He's averaging 4.6 yards per carry, which is 8.7 yards worse than Short, but he has received 37 carries compared to Short's 20. He's gone Over 70 yards in two of his three games, but because of his lackluster performance last week, we're getting this at a great number.
The best price is being offered at FanDuel. DraftKings is asking -140 for Over 60 yards, and BetMGM is asking -101 for 60.5 yards.
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
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Army vs. Temple odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Army vs. Temple game info
- When: Thursday, Sept. 26
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 73 degrees, 20% chance of precipitation, 6-mph wind
- Favorite: Army (-535 via DraftKings)
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