The Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Arlington, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Arkansas vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arkansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 away games (+0.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arkansas Player Prop Bets Today
- Isaac TeSlaa has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Andrew Armstrong has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Moose Muhammad III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jaylen Henderson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylen Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylen Henderson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI).
Arkansas is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .493
Arkansas is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Arkansas is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Arkansas is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .413
Texas A&M is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Texas A&M is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .651
Texas A&M is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .457
Texas A&M is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .413