The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-1) visit Pat Dye Field at Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Arkansas vs. Auburn Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs Auburn Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas vs Auburn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arkansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+4.80 Units / 96% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Auburn Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arkansas Player Prop Bets Today
- Isaac TeSlaa has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Andrew Armstrong has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jarquez Hunter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 76% ROI)
- Rivaldo Fairweather has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Arkansas is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Arkansas is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Arkansas is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 25.37% ROI).
- Auburn is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -15.16% ROI
- Auburn is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Auburn is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Arkansas is winless (0-7) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .453
Arkansas is winless (0-9) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Arkansas is winless (0-7) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
Arkansas is winless (0-8) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Auburn is 1-5 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .365
Auburn is 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436
Auburn is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .291
Auburn is winless (0-10) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Auburn’s QBs has thrown for 851 passing yards in 3 games (283.7 YPG) this season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 228.0 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Auburn’s offense has thrown for 851 passing yards in 3 games (283.7 YPG) this season — 35th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 228.0 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.