The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-6) visit JPS Field at Malone Stadium to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-5) on Oct. 28 in Monroe.
UL Monroe is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Arkansas St vs. UL Monroe Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Arkansas St vs UL Monroe Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UL Monroe will win this game with 54.3% confidence.
Arkansas St vs UL Monroe Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 73.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas St and UL Monroe, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Arkansas St Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
UL Monroe Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- UL – Monroe has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (+0.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Arkansas St Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -30.97% ROI).
- Arkansas St is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -11.67% ROI
- Arkansas St is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Arkansas St is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UL Monroe is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- UL Monroe is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -39.17% ROI
- UL Monroe is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- UL Monroe is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Arkansas State is 2-21 (.083) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .403
Arkansas State is winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .393
Arkansas State is winless (0-9) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .414
Arkansas State is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .326
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-11 (.133) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .525
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Louisiana-Monroe is 3-13 (.188) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– tied for 23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Louisiana-Monroe is 6-20 (.231) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 1,217 passing yards in 7 games (just 173.9 YPG) this season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 264.6 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe have just 173.9 receiving yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS skill players. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 267.3 receiving yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.