Arkansas St vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3
Arkansas St vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-0) visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Ann Arbor, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Michigan Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both teams, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arkansas State vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 85.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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      We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Arkansas State Player Prop Bets Today

        Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

        Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today

          Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          Arkansas St is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

          • Arkansas State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 25.48% ROI
          • Arkansas State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.05 Units / -2.38% ROI
          • Arkansas State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -6.52% ROI

          Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          Michigan is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).

          • Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
          • Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
          • Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

          Arkansas State is winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .393

          Arkansas State is 6-3 (.545) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425

          Arkansas State is winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .330

          Arkansas State is undefeated (6-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .469

          Michigan is 14-1 (.933) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .438

          Michigan is undefeated (15-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .523

          Michigan is 25-1 (.962) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .446

          Michigan is undefeated (15-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .566

          Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 9.2 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 14.3 RAC to WRs this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

          Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 9.2 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

            
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