Arizona vs Utah Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5
Arizona vs Utah Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

The Arizona Wildcats (2-1) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on the Utah Utes (4-0) on Sep. 28 in Salt Lake City, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT.

Utah is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Arizona vs. Utah Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Arizona vs Utah Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 81.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and Utah, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arizona vs Utah Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arizona Player Prop Bets Today

  • Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 33% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Utah Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Money Parks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Arizona is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Arizona is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Arizona is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.59% ROI).

  • Utah is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 9.22% ROI
  • Utah is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • Utah is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI

Arizona is 7-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604

Arizona is 11-3 (.733) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .620

Arizona is 8-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .619

Arizona is 7-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .535

Utah is 10-2 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .656

Utah is 12-4 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632

Utah is 11-4 (.733) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .535

Utah is 10-1 (.909) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .685

Utah’s TEs has gained 278 yards on 19 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 8.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah’s TEs has gained 278 yards on 19 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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