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In one of the only AP Top 25 matchups of Week 3, Arizona takes on Kansas State on Friday at 8 p.m. ET (FOX) from Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kans.
In our Arizona vs. Kansas State prediction, we're expecting a strong showing from Chris Klieman's team, but not without Heisman Trophy odds dark-horse Noah Fifita putting up a fight.
Kansas State is a 6.5-point favorite at our top college football betting sites in a battle of Wildcat programs hoping to climb the College Football Playoff odds.
Our college football Week 3 predictions expects this to be one of the top games of the week.
Arizona vs. Kansas State picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Spread pick: Kansas State -7.5 (+100 via BetMGM) vs. Arizona ????
- Player prop: Noah Fifita Over 254.5 passing yards (-123 via Caesars) ?????
Arizona vs. Kansas State odds movement
When we made our pick for this game on Thursday, Kansas State was a 7.5-point favorite after opening at -6.5. However, K-State backers who waited to bet at our best sportsbooks were rewarded with the Wildcats -6.5 once again.
That line movement can be at least partially attributed to 62% of bettors going with Arizona.
Arizona vs. Kansas State spread prediction: Week 3
If you were lucky enough to get in on Kansas State early, you're likely holding a -6.5 ticket.
Unfortunately for those who waited, the spread sits at -7.5, and despite 62% of bettors backing Arizona, the spread won't drop below seven again.
Fifita is one of the most enjoyable quarterbacks in the nation to watch.
In Week 1, he threw for 422 yards and four touchdowns against the New Mexico Lobos. It marked his third consecutive game with at least 350 passing yards.
While Fifita struggled last week, he should still be able to put up some gaudy numbers against a defense that just allowed 342 passing yards to Darian Mensah.
Yet, while Fifita and the offense will score, the Arizona defense probably won't be able to stop Kansas State's attack.
In Week 1, the Arizona defense allowed New Mexico to put up 39 points and 470 yards. If that was a sign of things to come, the defense will cost the Wildcats many games this season.
Look for the Kansas State offense, led by quarterback Avery Johnson and running back DJ Giddens, to score at will, leading their team to a double-digit win in a high-scoring contest.
A winning $10 bet will pay a $10 profit.
Best odds: +100 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 50%
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Arizona vs. Kansas State player prop
Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Two player props are worth taking in this game.
One is DJ Giddens rushing for at least 100 yards, and the other is Fifita hitting the Over on his passing yard total. While both are great bets, Fifita is the true must-play of the game.
Last season, Fifita threw for at least 260 yards in six of the nine games he started.
He never threw for fewer than 214 in a game.
While last week's worst passing performance against Northern Arizona was a little worrying, it was a look-ahead spot for him.
Fifita's floor is 200 yards. In a game where his defense will give up many points, Fifita should go off. In the past, we've seen him throw for over 500 yards in such situations.
The price at Caesars is the worst of our best sports betting apps, but the total is also 10 yards lower than what is being offered anywhere else.
Make this wager at Caesars as a safe play, then explore other books for the best price for Fifita to go over 300 yards.
A winning $10 bet at -123 will yield an $8.13 profit.
Best odds: -123 via Caesars | Implied probability: 55.16%
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
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Arizona vs. Kansas State odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Arizona vs. Kansas State game info
- When: Friday, Sept. 13
- Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where: Bill Snyder Family Stadium (Manhattan, Kans.)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 59 degrees, 12% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph
- Favorite: Kansas State (-275 via FanDuel)
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