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The Kansas State Wildcats host the Arizona Wildcats in a battle of unbeaten top-20 teams.
On Monday, we made our Arizona vs. Kansas State early picks for Thursday's Week 3 college tilt (8 p.m. ET).
At the time, Kansas State was favored by 6.5, and just as predicted, the spread has passed through the critical number and landed at 7.5 at our best sports betting sites.
We'll discuss whether the line movement has impacted our Arizona vs. Kansas State prediction.
The Wildcats will need to slow down Arizona's high-powered offense to cover. Are they up to the task, or will Arizona quarterback Noah Fifita have another phenomenal performance under center?
Before locking in your picks, check out the rest of our college football Week 3 predictions.
Arizona vs. Kansas State picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Spread pick: Kansas State -7.5 (+100 via BetMGM) vs. Arizona ????
- Player prop: Noah Fifita Over 254.5 passing yards (-123 via Caesars) ?????
Arizona vs. Kansas State spread prediction: Week 3
If you were lucky enough to get in on Kansas State early, you're likely holding a -6.5 ticket.
Unfortunately for those who waited, the spread sits at -7.5, and despite 62% of bettors backing Arizona, the spread won't drop below seven again.
Fifita is one of the most enjoyable quarterbacks in the nation to watch.
In Week 1, he threw for 422 yards and four touchdowns against the New Mexico Lobos. It marked his third consecutive game with at least 350 passing yards.
While Fifita struggled last week, he should still be able to put up some gaudy numbers against a defense that just allowed 342 passing yards to Darian Mensah.
Yet, while Fifita and the offense will score, the Arizona defense probably won't be able to stop Kansas State's attack.
In Week 1, the Arizona defense allowed New Mexico to put up 39 points and 470 yards. If that was a sign of things to come, the defense will cost the Wildcats many games this season.
Look for the Kansas State offense, led by quarterback Avery Johnson and running back DJ Giddens, to score at will, leading their team to a double-digit win in a high-scoring contest.
A winning $10 bet will pay a $10 profit.
Best odds: +100 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 50%
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Arizona vs. Kansas State player prop
Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Two player props are worth taking in this game.
One is DJ Giddens rushing for at least 100 yards, and the other is Fifita hitting the Over on his passing yard total. While both are great bets, Fifita is the true must-play of the game.
Last season, Fifita threw for at least 260 yards in six of the nine games he started.
He never threw for fewer than 214 in a game.
While last week's worst passing performance against Northern Arizona was a little worrying, it was a look-ahead spot for him.
Fifita's floor is 200 yards. In a game where his defense will give up many points, Fifita should go off. In the past, we've seen him throw for over 500 yards in such situations.
The price at Caesars is the worst of our best sports betting apps, but the total is also 10 yards lower than what is being offered anywhere else.
Make this wager at Caesars as a safe play, then explore other books for the best price for Fifita to go over 300 yards.
A winning $10 bet at -123 will yield an $8.13 profit.
Best odds: -123 via Caesars | Implied probability: 55.16%
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Arizona vs. Kansas State odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Arizona vs. Kansas State game info
- When: Friday, Sept. 13
- Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where: Bill Snyder Stadium (Manhattan, Kan.)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 59 degrees, 12% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph
- Favorite: Kansas State (-275 via FanDuel)
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