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Week 3 of the college football season begins with a doozy matchup on Thursday night when the Texas State Bobcats host the Arizona State Sun Devils.
The best part about this battle is that both teams have a talented running back that can do damage in multiple ways.
Arizona State's Cam Skattebo has accumulated 363 all-purpose yards through two weeks, while Texas State's Ismail Mahdi has recorded 238 total yards.
The below Arizona State vs. Texas State player props accompany our Arizona State vs. Texas State prediction and comprise just a fraction of our Week 3 college football picks and predictions.
Arizona State vs. Texas State college football player props: Thursday
Odds as of Wednesday and subject to change.
- Ismail Mahdi Over 12.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ?????
- Cam Skattebo Under 107 .5 rushing yards (-119 via Caesars) ????
- Joey Hobert anytime touchdown (+152 via FanDuel) ???
College football picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change.
Mahdi's rushing yardage prop has climbed to 79.5 after opening at 66.5, so I no longer see value in his ground attack. But I'm surprised his receiving yardage line remains untouched at our best sports betting sites.
In last week's 49-10 win over UTSA, Mahdi caught four passes for 56 yards.
That wasn't an outlier, as Texas State uses him frequently in the passing game.
Mahdi is third in passing snaps (60), including 51 plays as a receiving threat. He can clear 12.5 yards with one catch, and projections have him finishing with 20-plus receiving yards. There is a significant edge for this Over.
A winning $10 bet at -114 odds will profit $8.77.< /p>
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
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Like Mahdi, the market has hit Skattebo's rushing yardage prop this week. His rushing line is now trading at 107.5 after opening at 99.5.
But I don't agree with the movement.
Skattebo ran for 262 yards last weekend against Mississippi State, which came after a 49-yard performance during a blowout in the opener.
Texas State's defensive line will be focused on stopping the run, forcing Arizona State to throw the ball more on the road. With a projection closer to 85 yards, there is solid value in the Under.
The -119 at Caesars will yield a $8.40 profit on a winning $10 bet.
Best odds: -119 via Caesars | Implied probability: 54.34%
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This matchup projects to be a high-scoring game, with the total trading at 59.5.
That means bettors should explore the touchdown markets at our best best sports betting apps, especially those at appealing prices.
In this case, the value offered on Texas State receiver Joey Hobert stands out.
The slot receiver has two touchdowns while leading the team in passing snaps (74), targets (14), and receptions (10) through two weeks.
A $10 bet on Hobert scoring would net a $15.20 profit if he hits pay dirt.
Best odds: +152 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 39.68%
Arizona State vs. Texas State odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Arizona State vs. Texas State game info
- When: Thursday, Sept. 12
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: UFCU Stadium (San Marcos, Texas)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 94 degrees, 8% chance of precipitation, 8 mph winds
- Favorite: Arizona State (-125 via BetMGM)
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