Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 10-23-2023
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 10-23-2023

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies will meet for game six of the National League Championship Series on Monday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 5:07 p.m. ET.

Arizona (91-81 SU and 92-79 RL) is starting right-hander Merrill Kelly. The 35-year-old is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.92 WHIP this postseason (two starts).

Philadelphia (98-75 SU and 80-92 RL) is countering with righty Aaron Nola. The 30-year-old is 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.75 WHIP this postseason (three starts).

The Phillies are -184 moneyline favorites and the game total is eight runs. Philadelphia leads the series 3-2 after Saturday's 6-1 victory.

Arizona starter Zac Gallen dropped the ball in game five, surrendering two home runs in the first inning and two more runs before he exited in the sixth inning. The early deficit was too much for the D-Backs to overcome, as Phillies starter Zack Wheeler fanned eight batters and gave up only one run in seven innings. Now, it will take a stunning upset on the road for Arizona to stave off elimination.

The Diamondbacks scored 4.60 runs (14th) and hit .250 (14th) with a .730 OPS (17th) during the regular season. They launched 166 long balls (22nd) and stole 166 bases (2nd). The AZ pitching staff compiled a 4.48 ERA (20th) and a 1.32 WHIP (19th) with 57 quality starts (13th).

Kelly will toe the slab for the visitors in game six of the NLCS. The fifth-year pro was 12-8 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 30 regular-season outings, including 5-5 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.38 WHIP on the road (15 starts). He didn't come through for Arizona in game three's 10-0 loss to Philadelphia, surrendering four runs, including three home runs, in 5.2 innings. In his lone regular-season appearance against the Phillies on June 14, the Arizona State product gave up three runs and struck out seven in a six-inning no-decision.

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