Peru will need a miracle if they are to make the quarterfinals and win on Saturday, and we have you covered for Argentina vs. Peru with our predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.
Argentina left it late to beat Chile at MetLife Stadium on Tuesday, but they secured their place in the elite eight and head into the team's final Copa America Group A match atop the standings with three goals and two clean sheets.
Canada stunned Peru on Tuesday when Jonathan David scored for the tournament debutants in the 74th minute. The Peruvians are now winless in five Copa America games. It's their longest run without a victory in the competition in over 30 years.
Let's dive into the match with our Argentina vs. Peru predictions.
Argentina vs. Peru predictions for Saturday
- Final score: Argentina 2 – Peru 0 (+500 FanDuel)
- Lautaro Martinez anytime goalscorer (+188 via BetMGM)
- Best bet: Argentina wins and Under 2.5 goals (+185 via DraftKings)
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Argentina vs. Peru score prediction
Peru can't buy a win right now. Canada only managed five shots against them on Tuesday, and just two on target. The Canucks still found a way to beat them and finish with an xG of 1.78.
Even more concerning for Peru was that the Canadians produced all their shots inside the box. Peru was reduced to 10 men with the sending off of Miguel Araujo 14 minutes into the second half. That allowed the Canadians to control the ball while earning 51% of possession. The Peruvians will need to possess the ball if they are to get anything going against the reigning champions.
Argentina registered 61.2% possession against Chile and made 551 passes. They created 20 shots and reduced Chile to just three. La Albiceleste have also won three straight Copa America matches without conceding.
When facing an attack featuring Lionel Messi, Angel Di Maria, and Julian Alvarez, teams are likely to defend in numbers. However, Peru must attack to get a result in this matchup, and that will expose them defensively while allowing Argentina to create offensive opportunities.
At +500, FanDuel's odds imply a probability of 16.7%. A $10 wager results in a $50 profit.
Best odds: +500 via FanDuel
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Argentina vs. Peru anytime goalscorer prediction
Lautaro Martinez is on fire for Argentina after scoring five goals in the last five matches for his country. He had gone 16 games without finding the net for La Albiceleste prior to that run.
He has yet to start a match at this tournament, but with qualification for the next stage already confirmed, head coach Lionel Scaloni may choose to juggle his roster.
No player has scored more goals from the bench in competitive matches for Argentina than Martinez since making his international debut in 2018. Despite his limited game time on Tuesday, he registered the most shots on target (two) and shots inside the box (three) for his team. Only Nicolas Gonzalez produced more touches inside the box against Chile than the Inter Milan forward.
So he's getting in the box and creating plays, which is why Martinez is the tourname nt's top scorer while averaging a whopping 5.81 goals per 90 minutes.
At +188, BetMGM's odds represent an implied probability of 34.7%, and a $10 wager pays out $18.80.
Best odds: +188 via BetMGM
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Argentina vs. Peru best bet
Argentina hasn't fallen behind during a Copa America match since the 2019 semifinals, which is a run of 10 games. La Albiceleste forced the Chilean goalkeeper to make eight saves on Tuesday. No keeper had made more than five saves in a game across the previous six Copa tournaments for Chile. Argentina's 18 shots on target so far in this competition are more than the other teams in Group A have logged combined (16) after two contests.
Meanwhile, the Peruvians have scored just one goal this calendar year. They've recorded one win, two draws, and a defeat in 2024. Argentina have won five and lost one across their last six matches in all competitions. They scored seven and conceded two during that stretch, netting the first goal in five of the six contests.
La Albiceleste have also posted an impressive recent record against Peru while going unbeaten in t heir last five matches and outscoring la Blanquirroja 7-2. At +185, DraftKings' odds imply a probability of 35.1%, and a $10 wager pays a profit of $18.50 if it hits.
Best odds: +185 via DraftKings
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Argentina vs. Peru game info
- When: Saturday, June 29, 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
- How to watch: FS1, Fubo
- Favorite: Argentina (-200 via Caesars)
Argentina-Peru predictions made Thursday at 1:50 p.m. ET.
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