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The dichotomies in the leadup to the Copa America 2024 final between Argentina and Colombia are arresting. Colombia won their only Copa America title in 2001, while Argentina is eyeing its record 16th.
Colombia are the in-form team in CONMEBOL after going unbeaten in their previous 14 competitive matches dating back to February 2022, when this same Argentina side upended them 1-0 in a World Cup qualifier.
Despite running the table over the last two years, Colombia have experienced more trouble against Argentina than a toddler keeping their emotions in check. Los Cafeteros have only beaten their Lionel Messi-led arch-nemesis once in the last 12 meetings. That lonesome victory, a 2-0 result, came in the group stage of Copa America 2024.
So here we are, providing our Argentina vs. Colombia player props in addition to our Argentina vs. Colombia predictions, with the for mer looking to win back-to-back Copa America crowns for the first time since 1991 and 1993.
As they've been throughout the tournament, Argentina are the consensus Copa America odds favorites across our best sports betting sites entering Sunday's final, starting at 8 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.
Top Argentina vs. Colombia player props
Argentina vs. Colombia odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- James Rodriguez Under 1.5 shot attempts (-125 via bet365) ????
- Lionel Messi Under 3.5 shots (-163 via bet365) ???
- Under 5.5 cards (-104 via FanDuel) ????
James Rodriguez registered six shot attempts over the opening three games, but he failed to tally one in either of Colombia's knockout matches. Colombia's setup man, with a record six assists in the tournament, excels more when finding his teammates than firing toward the goal.
He should find it even more challenging to create enough space for shot attempts against an Argentinian defense that's the best Colombia have faced thus far. Rodriguez hit the Under here in three of his five Copa America 2024 contests, and I don't see him increasing his output during the final.
The -125 odds will pay a profit of $8 on a $10 wager if it hits.
Best odds: -125 via bet365 | Implied probability: 55.56%
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It's almost sacrilegious to select an Under when Messi is involved. However, bet365 is alone among our best sports betting apps while offering the Under on shot attempts.
And I'm going to buck the trend and bet a Messi Under for the first time. Taking nothing away from his superhuman-like skill set, Messi doesn't fire as many shots toward the goal as he once did, especially with the complementary pieces at his disposal in the national setup.
He recorded just one shot attempt against Chile and Ecuador while racking up shots against Canada, firing six and four over two games against the fourth-place finishers. Colombia are far superior at erasing space in the attacking third and will force Messi to pass more often.
The -163 odds will pay a profit of $6.13 on a $10 wager if it hits.
Best odds: -163 via bet365 | Implied probability: 61.98%
While things will inevitably get more heated than a Las Vegas summer day, I can't see the match resembling Colombia's semifinal against Uruguay. That's when eight cards were doled out, including two reds. Besides that anomaly, none of Colombia's matches featured six-plus cards, with an average of 3.75.
The Over hit here during just one of Argentina's five matches. That came against Peru, when six cards were handed out. The other four Argentina matches featured an average of 3.5 cards. Expect the affair to get spicy, but not enough to make your eyes water and nose hairs get singed.
The -104 odds offered at FanDuel will pay a profit of $9.62 on a winning $10 bet.
Best odds: -104 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 50.98%
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Argentina vs. Colombia game info
- When: Sunday, July 14
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
- How to watch: Fox Sports
- Favorite: Argentina (+115 via BetMGM)
Argentina-Colombia player props made Sunday at 10 a.m. ET.
Here are our best soccer betting sites:
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- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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