The Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-2) visit Joan C. Edwards Stadium to take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) on Oct. 5 in Huntington, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Marshall is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Appalachian State vs. Marshall Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Appalachian State vs Marshall Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and Marshall, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Appalachian State vs Marshall Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Appalachian State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Appalachian State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Marshall Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Marshall have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 88% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- Marshall have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 18% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today
- Joey Aguilar has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Joey Aguilar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kanye Roberts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -59.62% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Appalachian State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Marshall is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Marshall is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Marshall is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Marshall is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Appalachian State is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
Appalachian State is 9-4 (.692) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .455
Appalachian State is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Appalachian State is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .682
Marshall is 4-9 (.308) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Marshall is 4-1 (.800) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Marshall is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .440
Marshall is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572