The Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-1) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on the East Carolina Pirates (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00p m EDT.
Appalachian State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 59 total points.
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Appalachian State vs East Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Appalachian State vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Appalachian State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Appalachian State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.10 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today
- Joey Aguilar has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Joey Aguilar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kanye Roberts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best East Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- East Carolina is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 105% ROI
- East Carolina is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- East Carolina is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Appalachian State is 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .630
Appalachian State is 7-1 (.636) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Appalachian State is 8-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .438
Appalachian State is 11-5 (.579) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .446
East Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .425
East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .358
East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .394
East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .389
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 76 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.3% of attempts this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 2 games (320.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 291.0 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.