While we didn't find paydirt during Thursday Night Football, we still have a handful of predictions remaining for anytime and first touchdown scorers for Sunday's 13-game slate as we continue to search for the longest NFL odds across our best sports betting apps.
Despite going just 2-for-5 with our touchdown picks in Week 1, we still returned a +7.5-unit profit, which truly is the beauty of this betting market.
All it took was Kansas City Chiefs rookie Rashee Rice scoring his first career touchdown on Thursday Night Football, and Washington Commanders running back Brian Robinson Jr. finding the end zone for the opening touchdown of the game against the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday afternoon.
We had a tough start with our Week 2 touchdown scorer predictions during Thursday Night Football, missing on Boston Scott in this column and Dallas Goedert via Twitter/X. However, all it takes is one (or two) hits to make it a profitable week in this market, so we're diving right back in!
Here are our best NFL anytime and first touchdown scorer predictions to boost your NFL Week 2 predictions and player props (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Even with Ezekiel Elliott making his New England Patriots debut, incumbent workhorse Rhamondre Stevenson led the backfield while drawing 73% of the snaps played last week. Though he finished with 12 carries for just 25 yards, Stevenson hauled in all six of his targets for an extra 64 yards against the Philadelphia Eagles.
It's that dual-usage I like for this two-plus touchdowns bet with New England a 2.5-point home underdog against the Miami Dolphins. Miami ranks last in the NFL in run-stop win rate through just one week and ga ve up three rushing touchdowns during a Week 1 upset win over the Los Angeles Chargers. It's easy to see why our Neil Parker likes Stevenson's yardage total with his NFL Week 2 player props.
Stevenson's highest odds to score an anytime touchdown on Sunday Night Football are just +130 via Caesars. Let's shoot higher with these +850 odds from FanDuel for two-plus scores. BetMGM is offering this same prop at +400.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pulled off an upset of the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1, but they gave up a receiving touchdown to running back Alexander Mattison along the way. They also checked in at a middling 16th in run-stop win rate.
While the Bucs are suddenly 3-point favorites by the NFL's Week 2 odds, they were 1.5-point underdogs in the opening NFL odds. That should offer some hope for a Chicago Bears team that the rival Green Bay Packers trounced in Week 1.
The Bears balanced their backfield work during that loss. Khalil Herbert played 36% of the snaps and registered nine carries to go with three receptions on five targets as the veteran of the group. While it was rookie teammate Roschon Johnson who found the end zone on one of his five carries, Week 2 projections still favor Herbert to receive more touches, and he's getting the highest probability of finding paydirt among Bears running backs.
DraftKings' +240 odds is the best price, with Caesars hanging odds of just +175.
All eyes (and bets) are on Eagles running back D'Andre Swift to handle the bulk of the backfield work with Kenneth Gainwell ruled out of Thursday Night Football. However, Swift's odds in the anytime touchdown market come at a high of +160 via FanDuel. I don't hate it in a game the Eagles are set as 7-point favorites with an implied team total of 28 points, but the value is much bette r on the sixth-year rusher, Scott, via this number from FanDuel.
Gainwell led the Eagles with 14 carries in last week's win over the New England Patriots. QB Jalen Hurts had nine rushing attempts and Scott and Swift each received just a single tote. Yet, Swift's priced at +160 for an anytime touchdown and Rashaad Penny, who spent last week inactive, is even being given a better chance of finding the end zone in Week 2 with odds as high as +275 via BetMGM.
Projections for Thursday night have Swift with 0.3 touchdowns while Penny and Scott are both projected for 0.2 TDs. Yet, Scott's being priced well above his teammates despite being in head coach Nick Sirianni's system for longer and scoring 10 rushing touchdowns in the last two years. We need to take advantage of these higher odds on the less popular player.
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First touchdown scorer predictions
Sometimes with the touchdown market you have to play the motivation angle.
The first stop on that bus this week is Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen. Annually an MVP hopeful, the sixth-year starter began his 2023 campaign with three interceptions in the Bills' shocking Week 1 loss to the New York Jets in a game which Aaron Rodgers departed early in the first quarter. But the Jets have long had his number, that game was on the road, and the weather was lousy.
I'm looking for Allen to show a bit of ego in the Bills' home opener and to lean on his legs early in a game the Bills are set as 8.5-point favorites.
Allen's also the second-shortest favorite on the board in this market for Raiders vs. Bills but with odds of +750 via DraftKings with a low price of +550 via Caesars.
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