The Los Angeles Angels (+220) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-275) on Friday, September 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Angels vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 69-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 77-76 ATS.
Angels vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Angels vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 85.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joe Ryan has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 37% ROI)
Twins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Twins vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Twins vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| David Fletcher | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez | 8.5 +120 | 8.5 -155 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.94 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+10.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.47 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.03 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games (+14.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+13.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.24 Units / 31% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 71-82 against the Run Line (-21.45 Units / -11.02% ROI).
- 69-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.15 Units / -11.62% ROI
- 77-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.09% ROI
- 68-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -9.52% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 77-76 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 0.32% ROI).
- 81-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -5.9% ROI
- 76-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -2.12% ROI
- 72-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.35 Units / -6.19% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (17/26) against Pablo Lopez — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (525/755) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (496/1,423) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 96th Percentile.