The Los Angeles Angels (-115) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Goodyear.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Angels vs Reds Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Angels are 12-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 8-7 ATS.
Angels vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Angels vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 away games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.35 Units / 167% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aristides Aquino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Alejo Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 10.19% ROI).
- 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 25.26% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -24.04% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 15.37% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 3.67% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -8.9% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -23.71% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 14.16% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Silseth has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 3rd, 2022 — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 11.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last eight games dating back to August 23rd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Nick Lodolo had a strikeout rate of 47% (41/88) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo allowed a slugging percentage of .745 (35 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on low fastballs last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .429 — first Percentile.