Angels vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 15
Angels vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 15

The Los Angeles Angels (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Angels vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

This season, the Angels are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 6-8 ATS.

Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 74.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Triston Casas has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Adam Duvall has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 84% ROI)

Red Sox vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Connor Wong 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Rafael Devers 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Triston Casas 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

Red Sox vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Connor Wong 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Rafael Devers 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Triston Casas 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Christian Arroyo 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Red Sox vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Connor Wong 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Rafael Devers 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Triston Casas 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Red Sox vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Anderson 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
Nick Pivetta 6.5 +120 6.5 -155

  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 5-8 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -22.62% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -11.78% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -11.68% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 3.53% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -13.46% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -21.01% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 23.43% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -33.33% ROI

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (192/754) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 59% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (362/618) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has a strike rate of 71% (772/1,083) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 69% of Tyler Anderson’s pitches (548/799) with two-strikes since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has walked 22 of 196 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has walked 78 of 815 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 44% of the time (997/2,286) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.

  
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