The Los Angeles Angels (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Angels are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 8-6 ATS.
Angels vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-1, 8.39 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+9.95 Units / 90% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+9.90 Units / 165% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.90 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+12.25 Units / 123% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+8.70 Units / 109% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -15.36% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 11.85% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -13.33% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 8-6 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 6.33% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -10.82% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 46% (36/79) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Griffin Canning has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 37% (11/30) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (16/42) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (27 Total Bases / 41 ABs) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .397 — sixth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (65/114) this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Brayan Bello has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (65/114) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Brayan Bello on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Brayan Bello had a strike rate of just 54% (266/497) on sliders in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.