The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-150) on Thursday, September 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Angels vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 65-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 79-68 ATS.
Angels vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Angels vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 36 games (+17.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 67 of his last 109 games (+24.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 24 of his last 28 games (+21.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 41 of his last 59 games (+17.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+17.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 83 games (+14.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+16.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 69-78 against the Run Line (-16.75 Units / -9.14% ROI).
- 65-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -15.2% ROI
- 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.16% ROI
- 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.78% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 79-68 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- 63-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -11.34% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.65% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -8.33% ROI
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has walked 5 of 28 right-handed batters (18%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 37% (11/30) of opposing batters this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 6 of 43 batters (14%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (47/244) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Martin Perez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 43% of Martin Perez’s pitches (35/81) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (993/2,271) against Martin Perez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 43% of Martin Perez’s pitches (23/54) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.2 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 65.0.