The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-145) on Saturday, May 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Angels are 12-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 21-11 ATS.

Angels vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 3-2, 3.12 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 0-1, 2.30 ERA

Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

• Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 away games (+21.60 Units / 135% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+15.20 Units / 95% ROI)
• Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.65 Units / 79% ROI)
• Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)
• Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+21.70 Units / 217% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 71% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 31 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)

Angels Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games at home (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 16-16 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -13.94% ROI).

• 12-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -19.4% ROI
• 17-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 3.8% ROI
• 14-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -13.49% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 21-11 against the Run Line (+10.25 Units / 24.73% ROI).

• 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.52 Units / 17.89% ROI
• 17-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 8.11% ROI
• 13-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -16.17% ROI

Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

5 of Reid Detmers’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (21/48) against Reid Detmers when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (57/173) against Reid Detmers on sliders since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Reid Detmers has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 19 opportunities (26%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (9/38) against Ben Lively this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (23/113) against Ben Lively this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 26% (17/66) against Ben Lively on elevated fastballs since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (76/259) against Ben Lively on pitches in the strike zone since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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