The Los Angeles Angels (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Angels are 62-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 78-75 ATS.
Angels vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 10-13, 3.65 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 4-6, 5.22 ERA
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 24 games (+28.10 Units / 117% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+15.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 23 games at home (+13.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 36 games (+13.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 95 games (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 80 of their last 136 games (+21.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 95 games (+17.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+11.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 77-76 against the Run Line (-19 Units / -9.17% ROI).
- 62-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units / -8.86% ROI
- 71-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.33 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 75-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.55% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 78-75 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 2.72% ROI).
- 83-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 61-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -35.18 Units / -21.03% ROI
- 88-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 12.03% ROI
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) |
0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) |
0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) |
0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) |
0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (HOU) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) |
0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) |
0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) |
0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) |
0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) |
0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) |
0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) |
0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) |
3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Justin Verlander (HOU) |
5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (241/725) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has an average fastball velocity of just 89.4 MPH this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.8 — first Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (983/2,128) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (263/636) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .386 (27 GB hits out of 70 GBs) against Justin Verlander this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .269 (49-for-182) against Justin Verlander on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 94.0 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (102 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 90.1
Justin Verlander has a strikeout rate of just 15% (5 SO in 34 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.