The Los Angeles Angels (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 61-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-66 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+17.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 away games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 59 games (+10.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+16.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 37 of his last 66 games at home (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 126 games (+26.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games at home (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 63 games at home (+7.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 43 games at home (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 65-71 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -6.93% ROI).
- 61-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.05 Units / -14.32% ROI
- 61-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -7.03% ROI
- 65-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.85% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 70-66 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 3.09% ROI).
- 87-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 47-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -40.7 Units / -27.33% ROI
- 81-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +29 Units / 19.23% ROI
Joseph Davidson: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (21/47) against Tucker Davidson this month (1 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
The hardest ball hit off of Tucker Davidson was 114.4 MPH — 8th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.0
Tucker Davidson has struck out just 9% (2/22) of right-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 45% (21/47) against Tucker Davidson — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 31% — 95th Percentile.
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .387 (24-for-62) against Luis Garcia on low fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .274 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .113 (8 GB hits out of 71 GBs) against Luis Garcia with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has 32 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 12th most among of 673 pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has averaged 79.4 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — sixth Percentile.