We talked about this about a month ago as we started to get into the colder weather season. There are some games again in NFL Week 15 that could be impacted by weather but we've actually taken some bets Over the total as the forecast has improved in some cases.
The original numbers were shaded to the Under in case there was bad weather, but as the reports have improved, these Over bets could turn out to be good plays. Backup quarterbacks and injury reports are once again heavy this particular week – and don't forget to take a look at the weather, too. Here are the games presented in official Nevada rotation order (though we’re making an exception this week as the Giants-Commanders game was flexed to Sunday Night Football, so we’re moving it from the top of Sunday’s rotation to the SNF spot).Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings (-4, 47.5)
We opened this game 4 and have not moved it. Really good two-way action for us on the game. I do see some 3.5s popping up but I won't be moving it until I get a bet. The ticket count is heavy on the Vikings, about 4-to-1. No real sharp play either way on this one. We opened the total 47.5, got bet Over and we went to 48.5. They bet me Under 48.5 and Under 48, so I am back to the opener at 47.5.
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (-3, 37.5)This is one of those 2.5/3 games. We opened 2.5, they laid 2.5, they took 3 – back and forth and that often happens to us because we do everything at 11-to-10 at South Point and do not move the juice. It's sharp play both ways, depending on the number – which has also made this one of our bigger handle games of the week. We did get some play on the Ravens’ money line at +145. It was a strong move from a sharp player, so I'm down to -150/+130 now on the money line. Lotta play on the total, too. We opened 37.5, and like I say, a little lower due to fear of bad weather. Our first bet was Under, so I went to 37. Then they bet us Over 37, Over 37.5 and I went to 38.5 where we are starting to get some play back on the Under.
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-7, 43)