Alabama vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3
Alabama vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Alabama vs Wisconsin Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 86.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Alabama vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 82.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Wisconsin and key player performances this season.


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  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)

  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wisconsin players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Tyler Van Dyke has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.35 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Jackson Acker has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Bryson Green has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Braedyn Locke has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Alabama is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • Alabama is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Alabama is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.23% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496

Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .496

Alabama is 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .496

Alabama is 10-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Wisconsin is winless (0-3) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .353

Wisconsin is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .497

Wisconsin is 5-2 (.714) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .524

Wisconsin is 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .496

Wisconsin has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 5.4 RAC this season — best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin have just 203.0 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 103.0 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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