The Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) on Oct. 5 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-105).
The Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Alabama vs Vanderbilt Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Alabama vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Vanderbilt Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 30% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
- Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Vanderbilt players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Alabama is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.39% ROI
- Alabama is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.22% ROI
- Alabama is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI
Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Vanderbilt is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Vanderbilt is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 10.09% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
Alabama is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .682
Alabama is 13-1 (.929) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .670
Alabama is undefeated (8-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .603
Vanderbilt is 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .616
Vanderbilt is 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .545
Vanderbilt is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
Vanderbilt is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .362
Vanderbilt’s TEs has 21 receptions in 4 games (5.2 per game) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s TEs has 21 receptions in 4 games (5.2 per game) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.