The Alabama Crimson Tide (7-2) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (8-1) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Oxford.
Alabama are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Alabama vs. Mississippi is 64.5 total points.
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Alabama vs Mississippi Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 69.7% confidence.
Alabama vs Mississippi Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 67.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Mississippi, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.80 Units / 104% ROI)
- Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ja’Corey Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Mississippi Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- Alabama is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -6.83% ROI
- Alabama is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Alabama is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi has gone 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- Mississippi is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 10.89% ROI
- Mississippi is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Mississippi is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
#1 Alabama is 23-1 (.742) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446
#1 Alabama is undefeated (17-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511
#1 Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376
#1 Alabama is 17-1 (.895) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419
#7 Ole Miss is 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .378
#7 Ole Miss is 12-4 (.750) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 6th-best in FBS; Average: .420
#7 Ole Miss is 9-4 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417
#9 Ole Miss is 11-5 (.688) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376
Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,574 yards on 99 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Power 5 WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fifth-best among SEC defenses.