The Air Force Falcons (3-0) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (1-3) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in San Jose.
Air Force is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Air Force vs. San Jose St Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Air Force vs San Jose St Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 62.1% confidence.
Air Force vs San Jose St Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and San Jose St, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.89 Units / 43% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
San Jose St Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Best Air Force Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Air Force players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- John Lee Eldridge III has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best San Jose St Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose St players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chevan Cordeiro has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Kairee Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Chevan Cordeiro has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Air Force is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 21.98% ROI
- Air Force is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Air Force is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
San Jose St Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose St is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- San Jose St is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- San Jose St is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- San Jose St is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Air Force is 12-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Air Force was winless (0-2) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459
Air Force is 9-2 (.600) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .416
Air Force is undefeated (5-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .518
San Jose State is 9-3 (.562) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 14th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .432