OddsJam's football expert breaks down the NFL slate, giving his against-the-spread picks for every single game of football action! Find the top Week 4 odds, picks and predictions today below.
Thursday Night Football
Despite being undefeated and coming off a legitimately impressive win against the Bills, the Dolphins still find themselves underdogs against the disappointing Bengals. Sure, the Bengals just got their first win of the season last week, but the y still have a ton of issues to work out.
The Dolphins defense held the Bills to without a touchdown in the second half of their game last week, and now they get a Bengals offense that, despite a good win last week, still ranks as second-worst in the NFL. Give me the Dolphins to keep this close.
Both of these teams are likely going nowhere. The Vikings were lucky to beat the Lions last week, while the Saints just lost to the Panthers. Enough said there. The Saints defense is good, but not as good as they’ve been the past couple of years, while their offense is dreadful. The Vikings defense has also been terrible, so this is truly a matchup of bad vs. bad. Without a lot of confidence, I will take the home dog to cover the spread in this one.
This one is interesting in terms of how different the spread is depending on what book you are looking at. The OddsJam Line prices this at Browns -1, but there are books that have the main line of this all the way up to Falcons +2.5. While I worry about the Browns running all over the Falcons and their sixth-worst rush defense in the NFL, the Falcons have somehow been in every game they’ve played this year, and are a couple of bounces away from being 3-0. I’ll take the points and ride with another underdog here.
This is definitely the best game of the 1 p.m. ET slate. Both of these teams come in with high-powered offenses, with the Ravens having the best offense in the NFL. The Bills aren’t far behind at sixth, according to DVOA. The main difference here is the Bills defense, which is ranked second in the NFL, while the Ravens are all the way down at 18th. Both of these defenses are banged up, but the Bills defense is significantly better coached. So, I’ll lay the points with them.
The Cowboys with Dak Prescott in 2022: 0-1 The Cowboys with Cooper Rush: 3-0 QB controversy! Just kidding, but props to Rush, who has been good backing up Prescott. Now, the Cowboys face a QB in Carson Wentz who is elite at being sacked. Wentz was brought down nine times last week, with at least four of them being 100% his fault. Now, he is going off against an elite pass-rushing Cowboys defensive line. I’ll lay the points with the Cowboys.
In a Week 2 win against the Co mmanders, the Lions were favored for the first time since November 2020. Now, just two weeks later, they are favored again! Good for them. Anyways, I love the Lions in this matchup. The Seahawks have been dreadful since their impressive first half against the Broncos in Week 1. The Lions blew a winnable game last week against the Vikings but overall have been solid. I’ll take the points with the Lions and will pray for the kneecaps of the Seahawks.
The Chargers simply just can’t have nice things. They haven’t even played four games yet, and the following players are hurt: Rashawn Slater, Corey Linsley, Keenan Allen, Joey Bosa, J.C. Jackson, and, of course, Justin Herbert. Oh, and they just got curb-stomped by the Jaguars 38-10, a game in which they were roughly a touchdown favorite. The Chargers shouldn’t be five-point favorites over anybody at this point, so I will gladly tak e the points with the Texans.
Browns (-1) vs. Falcons
Bills (-3.5) vs. Ravens
Commanders vs. Cowboys (-3)
Seahawks vs. Lions (-4)
Chargers (-5) vs. Texans