Can you feel it? The 2023-24 NFL season is inching closer by the day. As of this writing, we are just 50 calendar rips away from kickoff between the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions on Thursday, September 7. We can't wait to dive into betting on this season, from parlays and futures to TD round Robins and more, this year has the potential to be our best yet.
Rookies are starting to report to training camp for several NFL teams which means full-fledged preseason is nearly here. This is where we'll see who cracks the roster bubble, shaping the final outlook for each team and finalizing the player pools from which we'll be drafting our fantasy squads. We even get to watch Aaron Rodgers and Co. on Hard Knocks this year, which should prove to be top-quality entertainment.
In order to fully prep for the wealth of betting opportunities we'll have this season, we're going to be analyzing each of the eight divisions across the NFL over the next two weeks. Combining our cutting-edge predictive analytics model with our own know-how, we'll look at key offseason moves, the outlook for each team as predicted by DimersBOT, and even some futures bets with value worth jumping on now. Be sure to check back here on Dimers.com every day as each subsequent preview is released!
MORE: Three Early NFL Futures Bets to Make Now
Before we get started, we have to recommend that you head over to our revamped Best Sportsbooks section which features an all-new user-friendly look, complete with in-depth reviews of every online sportsbook. Even better, you'll be able to see which books are available to you specifically along with every exclusive promo offer you can take advantage of. The NFL is far and away the most popular sport in the United States for betting and there are countless daily and weekly promotions throughout the season. Having access to every possible book you can is crucial to turning a long-term profit over the season and beyond.
NFL Divisional Previews
AFC East | AFC West | AFC South AFC North
NFC East NFC North | NFC South | NFC West
NFC North Division Preview
| TEAM | ODDS TO WIN DIVISION | PROBABILITY |
| KC Chiefs | -160 | 57.8% |
| LA Chargers | +340 | 23.9% |
| DEN Broncos | +700 | 9.7% |
| LV Raiders | +1400 | 8.5% |
Play this exact order of the AFC West standings for +450 on DraftKings!
2022-23 Record: 14-3, Won Super Bowl
2023 Win Total: O/U 11.5
Key Offseason Moves: Signed: OT Jawaan Taylor. Lost: DE Frank Clark, OT Orlando Brown
Outlook: The Chiefs emerged from their third Super Bowl appearance in four years with their second championship in that span. Fueled by NFL guru Andy Reid and 2022 NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City proved they are simply the best. They lost their #1 WR in Tyreek Hill in the offseason to replace him with the likes of JuJu Smith-Schuster and a rotating cast of mid-tier WRs at best, and it didn't matter. Patrick Mahomes excelled with Travis Kelce as his right-hand man. Though it was a thrilling final dance with the Eagles, it was the Chiefs' year.
Will they repeat this success in 2023? The simple answer seems to be “yes.” They face the same level of competition within their division; the talented yet inferior Chargers, the overcooked Broncos and the Jimmy Garoppolo-helmed Raiders. That's a pretty easy path to a division title, which will cost you -160 on most books, the priciest division winner odds alongside the 49ers.
You can grab them for +350 to win the AFC, which are the shortest odds by far. We give them a 19.5% chance of doing so. Most NFL fans and bettors would argue the Chiefs have two real challengers in the AFC, the Bengals and Bills, and we'd agree. At +600 to win the Super Bowl, they have the shortest odds although we give them the third-highest probability of winning at 11.2%.
Takeaway: Though it's not what we'd call “value” based on our probabilities, the Chiefs are probably one of the safest teams for long-term betting based on competition and talent. The only real thing preventing them from a deep playoff run is injuries like any team faces.
Looking at their schedule, their Under 11.5 wins at +120 is looking pretty appealing. While their division isn't strong, they'll face the Eagles, Bills, Bengals, Jets, Lions and Dolphins and Vikings. Those are all decent to great teams and 4-3 against those teams and 4-2 in the division is absolutely within the realm of possibility. That puts them one loss away, which is certainly worth a look at the plus-money if you aren't buying a repeat of last year's success.
If you are buying another Chiefs' domination, then consider them to have the most wins at +400, or to have exactly 12 wins (+475) or 13 wins (+500). Or, take them to sweep the AFC West at +650, something they've done twice in the past four years, including last season. And if you like that, Patrick Mahomes to repeat at as MVP at +700 gets even more appealing.